Our matrix puts businesses into one of four archetypes:
A. The Profit Printers. Profitable businesses with a negative cash conversion cycle.
These brands are operating in a dream state of being cash generative and profitable. Each sales cycle generates a profit that quickly flows through to cash in the bank.
B.** The Sleeping Giants.** Profitable businesses with a positive cash conversion cycle.
Many great brands sit in this quadrant. Cash flow squeezes, at least temporarily, don't mean you have a bad business. It's just the nature of running a consumer brand.
Your cash gets tied up in stock, and doesn't return until your cash conversion cycle completes. You can have strong unit economics, be profitable, and be on an upward growth trajectory, but still run into cash flow challenges.
C. The Deceptively Rich. Unprofitable businesses with a negative cash conversion cycle.
If you're in this category, you need to be very wary of falling into the negative cash conversion cycle trap.
Your negative cash conversion cycle means you can grow without external capital, but if sales slow, you could find yourself in an illiquid position very quickly. Get to profitability as soon as you can!
D. The Cash Burners. Unprofitable businesses with a positive cash conversion cycle.
Cash burners need to find a clear path to profitability. Many venture-backed consumer brands fall into this category.
They sacrifice short-term profitability in a bid to acquire lots of customers, aiming to recoup this investment down the line. But many well-known examples have failed to make this transition, having already burned through investor money.